Approval Trends Brief
Issue 36Published Aug 31, 2026
Green Card Replacement · Week 36
I-90 · Green card replacement

I-90 Final-Stage Waits Are a Third Shorter Than Last Year, but a Preliminary Read Shows a Summer Climb

The median final-stage wait for I-90 green card renewals stands at 67 days this week, down 34 days from the same week in 2025. The 12-week median has climbed from 15 days in mid-June to 67 days now, and the W36 count is preliminary.

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A preliminary read on I-90 processing this week shows a median final-stage wait of 67 days, down from 101 days in the same week of 2025, a 34.1% reduction. That year-over-year improvement is the most reassuring signal in this issue. At the same time, the 12-week trend tells a different story: medians have climbed steadily from 15 days in mid-June to 67 days now, at a slope of +5.8 days per week. The W36 sample covers 4,239 approved cases, roughly 50 to 70% of the typical weekly volume, so the 67-day figure may shift as more approvals are logged over the coming days.

Key findings
  1. The preliminary median final-stage wait for I-90 this week is 67 days, down 34 days (34.1%) from 101 days in the same week of 2025.
  2. The 12-week median has risen from 15 days (W25, Jun 15) to 67 days (W36, Aug 31), a 52-day climb over the summer, at a slope of +5.8 days per week.
  3. An RFE (Request for Evidence) anomaly flag fired this week: cases that received and responded to an RFE cleared in a median of 20 days, faster than the 37-day median for non-RFE cases.
  4. The active backlog of pending I-90 cases shrank by 3,791 cases (4.9%) over the 28 days ending September 7, with the April 2026 filing-month group posting the largest single-cohort (a group of cases) drop.
  5. The 4-week forecast carries wide uncertainty: if the current slope continues, the week of Sep 28 could land anywhere from ~56 to 124 days, reflecting a residual standard deviation of 17 days in the regression.
01 / Top line

A year ago vs. today: 34 days shorter, but climbing

The preliminary median final-stage wait for I-90 this week is 67 days, compared with 101 days in the same week of 2025, a 34.1% reduction. That gap is the most directly reassuring figure in this week's data for applicants mid-case. The W36 sample covers 4,239 approved cases, roughly 50 to 70% of a typical week's volume in recent months, so the 67-day figure is an early read that may revise upward or downward as more approvals are logged.

34days shorter than last year
The final-stage wait for I-90 approvals is 34 days lower than the same week in 2025, falling from 101 days to a preliminary 67 days this week.YoY delta: -34.1%. Same-week 2025 sample: n = 2,979.

The metric here is the median days from a case's last reported status to approval, what the brief calls the final-stage wait. It captures how long cases spent in the adjudication (the USCIS case decision step) queue immediately before approval, not the full time from original filing. The cohort burndown section below tracks full filing-to-approval pacing separately.

Figure 1
The 12-week median final-stage wait shows a steady summer climb from 15 days in mid-June to 67 days in W36, with a brief reading of 104 days in W34, alongside a last-year overlay that sits consistently above the current values.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
200200150150100100505000DaysJun 15Jun 15Jun 22Jun 22Jun 29Jun 29Jul 6Jul 6Jul 13Jul 13Jul 20Jul 20Jul 27Jul 27Aug 3Aug 3Aug 10Aug 10Aug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W25 to 2026-W36. n = 4,239 (W36, preliminary).
02 / Trend

From 15 days to 67: how the summer unfolded

The 12-week arc is one of steady, if uneven, upward movement. Medians opened at 15 days the week of Jun 15 (W25) and have reached 67 days the week of Aug 31 (W36), a 52-day rise over the full 12-week window. The sharpest single-week move came in W34 (Aug 17), when the median reached 104 days, up 58 days from W33's 46-day reading, before easing back to 66 days in W35 and 67 days this week. The 8-week regression slope is +5.8 days per week (R² = 0.44), a moderate fit that signals a real directional trend without accounting for week-to-week swings. The data brief does not tell us why the W34 reading was elevated; the subsequent retreat to 66 days in W35 is consistent with a batch effect, but a single week is not enough to confirm any mechanism.

Despite the summer climb, context matters. The current 67-day preliminary median sits well below the 3-year same-week average of 101 days and also below the 12-week trailing average of 45 days only when the early-summer readings of 15 to 21 days are included. The more recent 8-week window, which the slope captures, reflects a different and rising baseline. Both frames are real; which one is more relevant depends on how long a reader's case has been pending.

03 / Anomaly

The RFE inversion: cases with extra paperwork cleared faster

An anomaly flag fired this week for RFE (Request for Evidence, USCIS's standard follow-up letter asking for missing documents) response cases. Cases that received an RFE and submitted a response cleared in a median of 20 days, compared with 37 days for cases that never received an RFE. The speed ratio is 1.87x in the direction that is counterintuitive: the group that went through extra scrutiny finished faster. This does not mean applicants should seek an RFE. The difference reflects which cases happened to be approved during this particular week's sample, likely a group of RFE responses that were filed close together and cleared as a batch. The data brief does not supply a mechanism; a single week is not sufficient to draw a conclusion.

Figure 2
RFE-stamped cases cleared faster than non-RFE cases this week, with a median of 20 days vs. 37 days for plain-processing cases.
Median days from last reported status to approval, by RFE-stamped vs non-RFE cohort, this week.
RFE response ·
20days median
Plain processing ·
37days median

1.87x RFE response cases clear faster than the plain processing cohort.

Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. 2026-W36. n = 4,239 (preliminary).
RFE-response cases cleared faster this week because of which cases happened to be approved, not because extra scrutiny speeds things up.
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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Days to approval: time from a case's last non-approval status update to that marker.
  • Outlier rule: cases with a measured wait above 1,095 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-90 only