Approval Trends Brief
Issue 43Published Oct 19, 2026
Employment Petition · Week 43
I-140 · Employment-based petition

I-140 Total Wait Falls to 22 Days, Nearly Half Last Year's Pace

The median wait from filing to approval reached 22 days the week of Oct. 19, down from 39 days in the same week a year ago. A pending backlog of 220,260 cases, growing by roughly 12,000 over the past month, is the counterweight to that improvement.

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The median I-140 total wait fell to 22 days the week of Oct. 19, down from 26 days the prior week and from 39 days in the same week last year, a 43.6% year-over-year decline. Among the 3,553 approved cases with a known filing date, 55% cleared within 45 days and 8% waited more than a year, so the distribution remains wide. At the same time, 220,260 cases remain pending across all filing months as of Oct. 26, up from 208,074 a month earlier. Every wait figure in this brief is measured on cases that were already approved; none of it describes how long the pending cases have waited.

Key findings
  1. The median total wait (filing to approval) was 22 days the week of Oct. 19, down 43.6% from 39 days in the same week last year (n=3,997).
  2. 55% of the 3,553 cases with a known filing date were approved within 45 days; 8% waited more than a year, reflecting a wide distribution.
  3. The final-stage wait (time from the last status update to approval) is 17 days this week, down from a 12-week high of 27 days in late August, on an improving slope of -1.3 days per week (R²=0.72).
  4. RFE (Request for Evidence) response cases and non-RFE cases cleared at identical medians of 19 days this week, an unusually even split.
  5. The pending backlog stands at 220,260 cases as of Oct. 26, up 12,186 (5.9%) over the prior 28 days, even as recently filed cohorts clear at a steady pace.
01

22 days: the fastest same-week median in at least a year

22days
The median total wait from filing to approval for I-140 cases approved the week of Oct. 19. Half of all approved cases with a known filing date cleared faster than this; half took longer.Down from 26 days the prior week and from 39 days in the same week last year.

The 22-day total wait median is 43.6% below the 39-day figure recorded in the same week last year (based on 3,997 approvals). Among the 3,553 approved cases with a known filing date this week, 1,963 (55%) were approved within 45 days of filing, while 280 (8%) waited more than a year, a reminder that the distribution is wide. The median sits well below the tail. Separately, 220,260 cases remain pending across all filing months as of Oct. 26, up from 208,074 on Sept. 28. Approved-case medians describe only the cases that already cleared; they say nothing about how long those 220,260 pending cases have been waiting.

02

A sustained turn, not a single good week

Figure 1
The 12-week trend shows total wait medians hovering between 42 and 48 days from mid-August through late September before dropping to the current 22-day range.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
150150100100505000DaysAug 3Aug 3Aug 10Aug 10Aug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Sep 7Sep 7Sep 14Sep 14Sep 21Sep 21Sep 28Sep 28Oct 5Oct 5Oct 12Oct 12Oct 19Oct 19Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Aug 3 – Oct 19, 2026. n = 2,290 to 3,448 per week.

Looking at the 12-week total wait series, medians held between 42 and 48 days from the week of Aug. 17 through Sept. 28, then fell to 26 days in both the Oct. 5 and Oct. 12 readings before reaching 22 days this week. The 25th percentile (p25) has been notably stable throughout, ranging from 17 to 20 days across the full 12-week window and sitting at 18 days this week. The 75th percentile (p75) of 100 days this week is a reminder that a meaningful share of cases waits considerably longer than the median. Separately, the time from the last status update to approval (the final-stage wait) is 17 days this week, down from a 12-week high of 27 days in late August, consistent with the improving slope of -1.3 days per week over the past eight weeks (R²=0.72).

03

Inside the queue: where cases spend their time

Figure 2
The stage breakdown shows the weighted-average median days by last reported status, with the processing stage accounting for the largest share of tracked cases.
Weighted-average weekly p25 / p50 / p75 of the final-stage wait, last 12 weeks. Spread reflects week-to-week stability, not raw case distribution.
Last status before approval
Cases
Distribution (days)
Median
processing
29,675
p25 14 · p75 62
19 d
rfe_response
3,626
p25 6 · p75 40
14 d
rfe
758
p25 28 · p75 71
44 d
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Aug 3 – Oct 19, 2026. n = 29,675 (processing), 3,626 (rfe_response), 758 (rfe).

According to the Stage durations (30-day raw) data, the largest group of tracked I-140 cases, 58% of the roughly 334,000 cases observed, sits at 'USCIS Is Currently Processing the Case' status, with a median of 81 days at that stage (25th percentile 45 days, 75th percentile 149 days, across 194,195 cases). The RFE (Request for Evidence) stage holds 17.7% of cases at a median of 82 days (p25 56, p75 92) across 59,360 cases. Cases that have already submitted an RFE response are at 28 days median (p25 14, p75 50) across 39,266 cases. An RFE is not a denial signal; USCIS uses it as a standard follow-up for missing documents, and most cases that receive one are still approved. This week, the RFE comparison shows an unusually even result: cases with and without an RFE response both cleared at a median of 19 days.

No RFE
19days median
RFE Response
19days median
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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Total wait (headline figure when at least 100 approvals that week, and at least half of them, have a known filing date): days from the date USCIS received the case to that marker. When the received date is not shown, it is estimated from neighbouring receipt numbers.
  • Final-stage wait (trend charts): days from a case's last status update before approval to that marker. It is shorter than the total wait.
  • All waits are measured on approved cases. USCIS's published processing time counts the time within which 80% of a category's cases were completed, so it is not the same statistic.
  • Outlier rule: final-stage waits above 1,095 days and total waits above 3,650 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-140 only