Approval Trends Brief
Issue 43Published Oct 19, 2026
Work Authorization · Week 43
I-765 · Work authorization

I-765 Total Wait Hits 189 Days, Nearly Triple the Year-Ago Reading

The median filing-to-approval wait for employment authorization documents rose to 189 days the week of Oct 19, up from 65 days the same week last year, as the pending backlog reached 1.23 million cases.

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The median total wait for an I-765 Employment Authorization Document reached 189 days the week of Oct 19, measured from the date USCIS received the application to its approval. A year ago the same metric was 65 days; the week before it was 147 days. Both comparisons point in the same direction: the queue is longer and the recent uptick is real. As of Oct 26, 1,232,891 cases remain pending, up from 1,191,219 four weeks earlier. Every wait figure in this issue is measured on cases that were approved, so none of them describes how long those pending cases have waited.

Key findings
  1. The median total wait (filing to approval) reached 189 days the week of Oct 19, up from 65 days the same week last year, a year-over-year increase of +190.8%.
  2. The pending backlog stood at 1,232,891 cases as of Oct 26, up 41,672 (+3.5%) from 1,191,219 four weeks earlier.
  3. IOE, which handled 9,527 of the 12,000 cases approved this week, posted a final-stage median of 108 days, while SRC posted 212 days on a slope of +12.7 days per week (R² = 0.58).
  4. Cases that received and responded to an RFE (Request for Evidence) cleared in a median of 63 days this week, faster than the 131-day median for cases with no RFE, triggering the rfe_fast anomaly flag.
  5. Filing-month cohorts from May through July 2026 show approval rates of 25% to 29%, meaning more than 70% of cases in each of those groups remain active or exited as of this snapshot.
01

189 days: a wait that has nearly tripled in a year

189days
The median total wait from USCIS receipt to approval for I-765 Employment Authorization Document cases approved the week of Oct 19, up from 65 days the same week last year.Previous week: 147 days. Same week last year: 65 days (n = 17,101).

The median total wait for an I-765 application reached 189 days the week of Oct 19, measured from the date USCIS received the case to its first approval. One year ago the same metric sat at 65 days, a difference of 124 days. The prior week's reading was 147 days, so the single-week jump of 42 days compounds an already elevated trend. As of Oct 26, 1,232,891 cases remain pending across all filing months, up from 1,191,219 four weeks earlier. None of the wait figures in this issue describe those pending cases: they reflect only the roughly 12,000 cases that were approved during the week of Oct 19, for which USCIS had a known filing date.

02

A brief September dip, then the rebound

Figure 1
The 12-week total wait series shows medians running above 190 days through August, a dip to 118 days the week of Sep 21, and a rebound to 189 days this week.
Median days from last reported status to approval, with the p25 to p75 band.
300300250250200200150150100100505000DaysAug 3Aug 3Aug 10Aug 10Aug 17Aug 17Aug 24Aug 24Aug 31Aug 31Sep 7Sep 7Sep 14Sep 14Sep 21Sep 21Sep 28Sep 28Oct 5Oct 5Oct 12Oct 12Oct 19Oct 19Forecast
p25 to p75
Weekly median
Forecast
Last year
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Aug 3 – Oct 19, 2026. n = 12,000 (this week).

Walking through the 12-week total wait table: medians ran between 193 and 220 days through August, then fell to 118 days the week of Sep 21 and held in the 144-to-152 range through early October. This week's 189-day reading reverses that improvement. The interquartile range (IQR) this week is wide: the 25th percentile (p25) sits at 38 days and the 75th percentile (p75) at 351 days. Roughly a quarter of cases this week were approved within 38 days of filing, while another quarter waited longer than 351 days. That spread suggests case composition, not a uniform queue, is driving the median. Readers should not assume their own wait will match the midpoint.

03

IOE holds the line; SRC and EAC keep climbing

Figure 2
Per-center medians for the final-stage wait this week range from 108 days at IOE to 424 days at LIN, with SRC and EAC showing the steepest upward slopes.
Median days from last reported status to approval, by service center, week of Oct 19, 2026.
4,0004,0003,0003,0002,0002,0001,0001,00000Approvals (approx)16-29d16-29d29-133d29-133d133-225d133-225d225-467d225-467d467-700d467-700dDays from filingMedian 133 d
Source: MyCasesHub case-status updates. Week of Oct 19, 2026. n = 12,000.

The figures below describe the time from the last status update to approval (the final-stage wait), not the total filing-to-approval wait. IOE, which accounted for 9,527 of the 12,000 cases approved this week, posted a median of 108 days. Its 8-week slope is -4.7 days per week, though an R² of 0.14 means that direction is tentative. SRC posted 212 days on a slope of +12.7 days per week with R² of 0.58, a comparatively confident upward trend. EAC posted 397 days on a slope of +13.1 days per week with R² of 0.27. LIN (Nebraska Service Center) sat at 424 days. Among SRC's 1,711 approvals this week, 31% were transfer-touched; among EAC's 172, 12% were; at IOE, 0% were. That mix difference means these centers' medians may not reflect the same underlying case population, and the gap between them is not a verdict on any center's performance. The data does not tell us why the gaps exist.

IOE · Electronic
108days median
p25 29 / p75 225 / n 9,527
SRC · Texas
212days median
p25 38 / p75 268 / n 1,711

EAC and LIN both show medians above 397 days. Their case volumes are small, 172 and 169 cases respectively this week, so those readings carry more variance than the IOE figure. SRC's trend is the more statistically grounded of the two climbing centers, given its R² of 0.58 against EAC's 0.27.

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About this brief

Approval Trends Brief is a weekly data report from the MyCasesHub Data Team. It uses live USCIS case status updates from millions of cases tracked through MyCasesHub. Briefs are issued every Monday and revised whenever a material trend change is detected.

Methodology and resources

  • Source: USCIS case status updates collected through MyCasesHub user activity.
  • Approval marker: first occurrence of approval, card produced, or oath ceremony status.
  • Total wait (headline figure when at least 100 approvals that week, and at least half of them, have a known filing date): days from the date USCIS received the case to that marker. When the received date is not shown, it is estimated from neighbouring receipt numbers.
  • Final-stage wait (trend charts): days from a case's last status update before approval to that marker. It is shorter than the total wait.
  • All waits are measured on approved cases. USCIS's published processing time counts the time within which 80% of a category's cases were completed, so it is not the same statistic.
  • Outlier rule: final-stage waits above 1,095 days and total waits above 3,650 days are excluded.
  • Sample size threshold: cohorts with fewer than 100 cases are flagged as low confidence.
  • How we compute these numbers·I-765 only