PUBLISHING SCHEDULE
Brief takes a week off
The Approval Trends Brief publishes every Monday. Next issue lands Mon, Jun 22. In the meantime, read last week's coverage below.
MyCasesHub · Publication
Approval Trends Brief
A weekly brief on USCIS processing times
I-765 · WORK AUTHORIZATION
I-765 Final-Stage Wait Falls to 63 Days, but the Active Backlog Grew 36% in One Month
The week of June 1 delivered the lowest median in 12 weeks for EAD approvals. A concurrent 36% expansion in the active pending caseload raises questions about whether that pace can hold.
I-485 · ADJUSTMENT OF STATUS
I-485 Final-Stage Waits Fall 41 Days, but the Active Backlog Has Grown 57%
Over six weeks, the median final-stage wait for green card applicants fell from 90 days to 49 days. At the same time, active pending cases grew by nearly 97,601 in just 43 days — a structural tension that shapes what the trend may look like next.
I-130 · FAMILY PETITION
I-130 Final-Stage Wait Hits 12-Week Low, but a Center Divide and Rising Backlog Complicate the Picture
The week of May 18, 2026 saw a 65-day median for approved I-130 cases, the best reading in three months. Nearly all of that improvement flows through IOE-processed cases; MSC cases averaged 232 days, and the active pending backlog grew 14.2% in 18 days.
I-140 · EMPLOYMENT PETITION
I-140 Final-Stage Wait Cuts to 20 Days, Halving Since April's Peak
The week of June 1, the median final-stage wait for I-140 approvals reached 20 days, down from a spring high of 44 days. The trend is real but noisy, and the pending pipeline grew 43.6% in 31 days.
N-400 · NATURALIZATION
N-400 Backlog Grows Nearly 50% in One Month While Weekly Median Looks Calm
The week of June 1, 2026 shows a 28-day final-stage median that sits below the 12-week average, yet the active pending backlog expanded by 48.7% over the prior 31 days. Recent filing-month groups remain largely untouched by approvals.
I-129 · NONIMMIGRANT WORKER
I-129 final-stage wait hits 15 days while active backlog jumps 63% in a month
The week of June 1 shows a near-record-low approval median, but the total active pending pool grew from roughly 23,000 to 37,827 cases in just 31 days, driven by a wave of May 2026 filings.
I-131 · TRAVEL DOCUMENT
Where Your I-131 Is Filed Matters More Than Any Weekly Trend
A preliminary 210-day median for Week 23 masks a 302-day gap between the fastest and slowest service centers. The early read, based on 807 approved cases, may shift as more approvals are logged.
I-90 · GREEN CARD REPLACEMENT
I-90 Final-Stage Wait Falls From 250 Days to 27 in 12 Weeks
The median for green card renewal approvals has compressed at a rate of roughly 25 days per week since March, reaching 27 days in the week of June 8. The descent is near a structural floor, with the 4-week forecast holding at about 13 days.
I-539 · STATUS EXTENSION
Preliminary I-539 median hits 121 days as center imbalance widens to 181 days
An early read for the week of June 1 shows the final-stage wait at its highest point in the 12-week window, with three anomaly flags firing simultaneously. The 181-day spread between the fastest and slowest service centers is the dominant structural signal.
I-751 · REMOVAL OF CONDITIONS
Preliminary I-751 median looks calm while the pending backlog builds fast
Week 23, 2026 brings an early read of 42 days at the final stage, well below the 12-week average, but active pending cases grew nearly 50% in 31 days and no 2026 filing-month group has reached meaningful approval rates yet.
I-360 · SPECIAL IMMIGRANT PETITION
I-360 median holds flat at 174 days while active pending cases climb 14% in a month
A preliminary early read for Week 23 shows no movement in the final-stage wait, but the active backlog grew by more than 3,000 cases in 31 days, a pace that outstrips current approval rates across every recent filing-month group.
N-600 · CERTIFICATE OF CITIZENSHIP
N-600 Final-Stage Wait Jumps 32 Days in One Week as Active Backlog Nears 50% Growth
The week of June 1 brought the highest N-600 median in the 12-week window, flagged as a statistical outlier, while total pending cases grew by nearly half in a single month.
I-129F · FIANCÉ PETITION
I-129F Wait Hits 12-Week High as Backlog Grows and Zero 2026 Cases Clear
The week of June 1 brought a 30-day jump in the final-stage wait to 211 days, the highest reading in the trailing 12-week window. Every filing-month group from 2026 remains at zero approvals, and the active pending backlog grew by more than 2,200 cases in a single month.
I-821D · DACA
I-821D Median Collapses 136 Days in One Week, But the Signal Is Misleading
A -9.32 sigma anomaly fired for the week of June 1, 2026, as the I-821D final-stage median fell from 170 days to 34. The drop almost certainly reflects a composition shift in which cases were approved this week, not a genuine change in USCIS throughput pace.
I-821 · TEMPORARY PROTECTED STATUS
I-821 Final-Stage Wait Jumps 33 Days in a Single Week, Triggering Outlier Flag
The week of May 18 produced a 446-day median, the highest in the 12-week window, against a backdrop where TPS terminations far outnumber approvals and a low R² means the trend line explains little of the week-to-week movement.